2020 United States presidential election

The 2020 United States presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn on December 14, 2020,[1] will either elect a new president and vice president or re-elect the incumbents. In the event that no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, the United States House of Representatives will select the president from three candidates that received the most electoral votes, and the United States Senate will select the vice president from the candidates that received the two highest totals. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

2020 United States presidential election

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →

538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win

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About this image
The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the 2010 Census.

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

TBD

The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.

Contents

Background

Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's presidential ticket, who is then ratified by the delegates (with the exception of the Libertarian Party, which nominates its vice presidential candidate by delegate vote regardless of the nominee's preference). The general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[2]

In August 2018, the Democratic National Committee voted to disallow superdelegates from voting on the first ballot of the nominating process, beginning with the 2020 election. This would require a candidate to win a majority of pledged delegates from the assorted primary elections in order to win the party's nomination. The last time this did not occur was the nomination of Adlai Stevenson II at the 1952 Democratic National Convention.[3]

The Twenty-second Amendment to the Constitution states that an individual cannot be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from being elected president again. Former president Jimmy Carter, having served a single term as president, is not constitutionally prohibited from being elected to another term in the 2020 election.

Demographic trends

The age group of what will then be people in the 18- to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will be nonwhite.[4]

A bipartisan report indicates that changes in voter demographics since the 2016 election could impact the results of the 2020 election. African Americans, Hispanics, Asians, and other ethnic minorities, as well as "whites with a college degree", are expected to all increase their percentage of national eligible voters by 2020, while "whites without a college degree" will decrease. This shift is potentially an advantage for the Democratic nominee; however, due to geographical differences, this could still lead to President Trump (or a different Republican nominee) winning the Electoral College while still losing the popular vote, possibly by an even larger margin than in 2016.[5]

Simultaneous elections

The presidential election will occur simultaneously with elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win elections.[6] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[7]

Nominations

Republican Party

Donald Trump is eligible to run for re-election and has signaled his intention to do so.[8] His re-election campaign has been ongoing since his victory in 2016, leading pundits to describe his tactic of holding rallies continuously throughout his presidency as a "never-ending campaign".[9] On January 20, 2017, at 5:11 p.m., he submitted a letter as a substitute of FEC Form 2, by which he reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign Act.[10]

Beginning in August 2017, reports arose that members of the Republican Party were preparing a "shadow campaign" against Trump, particularly from the moderate or establishment wings of the party. Then-Arizona senator John McCain said that "[Republicans] see weakness in this president."[11] Maine senator Susan Collins, Kentucky senator Rand Paul, and former New Jersey governor Chris Christie all expressed doubts in 2017 that Trump would be the 2020 nominee, with Collins stating "it's too difficult to say."[12][13] Senator Jeff Flake claimed in 2017 that Trump was "inviting" a primary challenger by the way he was governing.[14] Longtime political strategist Roger Stone, however, predicted in May 2018 that Trump might not seek a second term were he to succeed in keeping all of his campaign promises and "mak[ing] America great again".[15]

The Republican National Committee unofficially endorsed Trump on January 25, 2019.[16]

Former Massachusetts governor Bill Weld became Trump's first official challenger in the Republican primaries following an announcement on April 15, 2019.[17] Weld, who was the Libertarian Party's nominee for vice president in 2016, is considered a long shot because his libertarian views on several political positions such as abortion rights, gay marriage and marijuana legalization conflict with traditionalist conservative positions.[18]

Declared major candidates

Name Born Experience State Campaign
Announcement date
Ref.
 
Donald Trump
June 14, 1946
(age 73)
Queens, New York
President of the United States (2017–present)  
New York
 
Campaign
Campaign (informal): February 17, 2017
Campaign (formal): June 18, 2019

FEC filing[19]
[20]
 
Bill Weld
July 31, 1945
(age 74)
Smithtown, New York
Governor of Massachusetts (1991–1997)
Libertarian nominee for Vice President in 2016
Republican nominee for U.S. Senate from Massachusetts in 1996
 
Massachusetts
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee: February 15, 2019
Campaign: April 15, 2019

FEC filing[21]
[22]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months, as of August 2019.

Endorsements

Democratic Party

After Hillary Clinton's loss in the previous election, the Democratic Party was seen largely as leaderless[31] and fractured between the centrist Clinton wing and the more progressive Sanders wing of the party, echoing the rift brought up in the 2016 primary election.[32][33]

This divide between the establishment and progressive wings of the party has been reflected in several elections leading up to the 2020 primaries, most notably in 2017 with the election for DNC chair between Tom Perez and Sanders-backed progressive Keith Ellison:[34] Perez was elected chairman, but Ellison was appointed the deputy chair, a largely ceremonial role. In 2018, several U.S. House districts that Democrats hoped to gain from the Republican majority had contentious primary elections. These clashes were described by Politico's Elena Schneider as a "Democratic civil war".[35] Meanwhile, there has been a general shift to the left in regards to college tuition, healthcare, and immigration among Democrats in the Senate, likely to build up credentials for the upcoming primary election.[36][37]

Perez has commented that the 2020 primary field would likely go into double-digits, rivaling the size of the 2016 GOP primary, which consisted of 17 major candidates, setting a then-record for the largest presidential primary field for any political party in American history.[38][39] Several female candidates are expected to enter the race, increasing the likelihood of the Democrats nominating a woman for the second time in a row.[40] Speculation also mounted that Democrats' best bet to defeat President Trump would be to nominate their own celebrity or businessperson with no government experience, most notably Oprah Winfrey after her speech at the 75th Golden Globe Awards.[41]

The topic of age has been brought up among the most likely front-runners: former vice president Joe Biden, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, and Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, who will be 78, 71, and 79 respectively on inauguration day. Former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (who will be 81 on inauguration day) described the trio as "an old folks' home", expressing a need for fresh faces to step up and lead the party.[42]

With 23 major candidates as of August 15, 2019,[43] the Democratic primary field broke the aforementioned 2016 GOP primary's record for the largest presidential primary field for any political party since 1972.[39] Counting the candidates who have dropped out, 27 major candidates have sought the 2020 Democratic nomination.

Declared major candidates

Name Born Experience State Campaign
Announcement date
Ref.
 
Michael Bennet
November 28, 1964
(age 54)
New Delhi, India
U.S. senator from Colorado (2009–present)  
Colorado
 
Campaign
Campaign: May 2, 2019
FEC filing[44]
[45]
 
Joe Biden
November 20, 1942
(age 76)
Scranton, Pennsylvania
Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)
U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
Democratic candidate for President in 1988 and 2008
 
Delaware
 
Campaign
Campaign: April 25, 2019
FEC filing[46]
[47]
 
Cory Booker
April 27, 1969
(age 50)
Washington, D.C.
U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)
Mayor of Newark, New Jersey (2006–2013)
 
New Jersey
 
Campaign
Campaign: February 1, 2019
FEC filing[48]
[49]
 
Steve Bullock
April 11, 1966
(age 53)
Missoula, Montana
Governor of Montana (2013–present)
Attorney General of Montana (2009–2013)
 
Montana
 
Campaign
Campaign: May 14, 2019
FEC filing[50]
[51][52]
 
Pete Buttigieg
January 19, 1982
(age 37)
South Bend, Indiana
Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–present)
Democratic nominee for Indiana Treasurer in 2010
 
Indiana
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee: January 23, 2019
Campaign: April 14, 2019

FEC filing[53]
[54]
 
Julián Castro
September 16, 1974
(age 44)
San Antonio, Texas
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017)
Mayor of San Antonio, Texas (2009–2014)
 
Texas
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
December 12, 2018
Campaign: January 12, 2019

FEC filing[55]
[56]
 
Bill de Blasio
May 8, 1961
(age 58)
Manhattan, New York
Mayor of New York City, New York (2014–present)  
New York
 
Campaign
Campaign: May 16, 2019
FEC filing[57]
[58]
 
John Delaney
April 16, 1963
(age 56)
Wood-Ridge, New Jersey
U.S. representative from MD-06 (2013–2019)  
Maryland
 
Campaign
Campaign: July 28, 2017
FEC filing[59]
[60]
 
Tulsi Gabbard
April 12, 1981
(age 38)
Leloaloa, American Samoa
U.S. representative from HI-02 (2013–present)  
Hawaii
 
Campaign
Campaign: January 11, 2019
FEC filing[61]
[62]
 
Kirsten Gillibrand
December 9, 1966
(age 52)
Albany, New York
U.S. senator from New York (2009–present)
U.S. representative from NY-20 (2007–2009)
 
New York
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
January 15, 2019
Campaign: March 17, 2019

FEC filing[63]
[64]
 
Kamala Harris
October 20, 1964
(age 54)
Oakland, California
U.S. senator from California (2017–present)
Attorney General of California (2011–2017)
 
California
 
Campaign
Campaign: January 21, 2019
FEC filing[65]
[66]
 
Jay Inslee
February 9, 1951
(age 68)
Seattle, Washington
Governor of Washington (2013–present)
U.S. representative from WA-01 (1999–2012)
U.S. representative from WA-04 (1993–1995)
 
Washington
 
Campaign
Campaign: March 1, 2019
FEC filing[67]
[68]
 
Amy Klobuchar
May 25, 1960
(age 59)
Plymouth, Minnesota
U.S. senator from Minnesota (2007–present)  
Minnesota
 
Campaign
Campaign: February 10, 2019
FEC filing[69]
[70]
 
Wayne Messam
June 7, 1974
(age 45)
South Bay, Florida
Mayor of Miramar, Florida (2015–present)  
Florida
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
March 13, 2019
Campaign: March 28, 2019

FEC filing[71]
[72]
 
Seth Moulton
October 24, 1978
(age 40)
Salem, Massachusetts
U.S. representative from MA-06 (2015–present)  
Massachusetts
 
Campaign
Campaign: April 22, 2019
FEC filing[73]
[74]
 
Beto O'Rourke
September 26, 1972
(age 46)
El Paso, Texas
U.S. representative from TX-16 (2013–2019)
Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Texas in 2018
 
Texas
 
Campaign
Campaign: March 14, 2019
FEC filing[75]
[76]
 
Tim Ryan
July 16, 1973
(age 46)
Niles, Ohio
U.S. representative from OH-13 (2013–present)
U.S. representative from OH-17 (2003–2013)
 
Ohio
 
Campaign
Campaign: April 4, 2019
FEC filing[77]
[78]
 
Bernie Sanders
September 8, 1941
(age 77)
Brooklyn, New York
U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present)
U.S. representative from VT-AL (1991–2007)
Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989)
Democratic candidate for President in 2016
Candidate for Governor of Vermont in 1972, 1976, and 1986
Candidate for U.S. Senate from Vermont in 1972 and 1974
 
Vermont
 
Campaign
Campaign: February 19, 2019
FEC filing[79]
[80]
 
Joe Sestak
December 12, 1951
(age 67)
Secane, Pennsylvania
U.S. representative from PA-07 (2007–2011)
Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania in 2016 and 2010
 
Pennsylvania

Campaign
Campaign: June 22, 2019
FEC filing[81]
[82]
 
Tom Steyer
June 27, 1957
(age 62)
Manhattan, New York
Hedge fund manager
Founder of Farallon Capital
 
California
 
Campaign
Campaign: July 9, 2019
FEC filing[83]
[84]
 
Elizabeth Warren
June 22, 1949
(age 70)
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)  
Massachusetts
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
December 31, 2018
Campaign: February 9, 2019

FEC filing[85]
[86]
 
Marianne Williamson
July 8, 1952
(age 67)
Houston, Texas
Author
Founder of Project Angel Food
Independent candidate for U.S. House from CA-33 in 2014
 
Iowa
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
November 15, 2018
Campaign: January 28, 2019

FEC filing[87]
[88]
 
Andrew Yang
January 13, 1975
(age 44)
Schenectady, New York
Entrepreneur
Founder of Venture for America
 
New York
 
Campaign
Campaign: November 6, 2017
FEC filing[89]
[90]

Withdrawn candidates

Candidate Born Experience State Campaign Ref
 
Richard Ojeda
September 25, 1970
(age 48)
Rochester, Minnesota
West Virginia state senator from WV-SD07 (2016–2019)
Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from WV-03 in 2018
Democratic candidate for U.S. representative from WV-03 in 2014
 
West Virginia

Campaign
Campaign: November 11, 2018
FEC filing[91]
Suspended: January 25, 2019
[92][93]
 
Eric Swalwell
November 16, 1980
(age 38)
Sac City, Iowa
U.S. representative from CA-15 (2013–present)  
California
 
Campaign
Campaign: April 8, 2019
FEC filing[94]
Suspended: July 8, 2019
[95][96]
 
Mike Gravel
May 13, 1930
(age 89)
Springfield, Massachusetts
U.S. senator from Alaska (1969–1981)
Democratic and Libertarian candidate for President in 2008
 
California
 
Campaign
Campaign: April 8, 2019
FEC filing[97]
Suspended: August 6, 2019

(endorsed Sanders and Gabbard)[98]
[98]
 
John Hickenlooper
February 7, 1952
(age 67)
Narberth, Pennsylvania
Governor of Colorado (2011–2019)
Mayor of Denver, Colorado (2003–2011)
 
Colorado
 
Campaign
Campaign: March 4, 2019
FEC filing[99]
Suspended: August 15, 2019
[100][101]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months, as of August 2019.

Endorsements

Libertarian Party

Libertarian debates are being held at multiple state conventions[103], as well as bi-weekly on the We Are Libertarians podcast.

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref
 
Max Abramson
April 29, 1976
(age 43)
Kent, Washington
New Hampshire State Representative 2014–2017, 2019–present
Nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 2016
Candidate for Rockingham County, New Hampshire Attorney in 2012
 
New Hampshire
 
June 30, 2019
FEC Filing[104]
[105]
 
Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman
April 24, 1981
(age 38)
Los Angeles, California
Internet personality and podcaster
Nominee for Texas state representative from TX-125 in 2014
 
Texas
 
January 30, 2019
FEC Filing[106]
[107]
 
Souraya Faas
Miami, Florida Member of the Miami-Dade County Republican Executive Committee
Republican candidate for U.S. representative from FL-26 in 2018
Independent candidate for President in 2016
 
Florida
May 3, 2019
FEC Filing[108]
[109]
 
Adam Kokesh
February 1, 1982
(age 37)
San Francisco, California
Libertarian and anti-war political activist
Candidate for U.S. Senate from Arizona in 2018
Republican candidate for U.S. Representative from NM-03 in 2010
 
Arizona
 
July 18, 2013
FEC Filing[110]
[111]
 
John McAfee
September 18, 1945
(age 73)
Forest of Dean, Gloucestershire,
United Kingdom
Founder and CEO of McAfee, Inc. 1987–1994
Candidate for President in 2016
 
Tennessee
 
Campaign
June 3, 2018
FEC Filing[112]
[113]
 
Kim Ruff
Peoria, Arizona Vice chair of the LP Radical Caucus
Write-in candidate for Arizona State Mine Inspector in 2018
 
Arizona
 
March 25, 2019
FEC Filing[114]
[115]
 
Vermin Supreme
June 1961
(age 57)
Rockport, Massachusetts
Performance artist and activist
Candidate for President in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016
Candidate for Mayor of Detroit, Michigan in 1989
Candidate for Mayor of Baltimore, Maryland in 1987
 
Kansas
 
May 28, 2018
FEC Filing[116]
[117]
 
Arvin Vohra
May 9, 1979
(age 40)
Silver Spring, Maryland
Vice Chair of the LNC 2014–2018
Nominee for U.S. Senate from Maryland in 2018 and 2016
Nominee for U.S. Representative from Maryland in 2012 and 2014
 
Maryland
 
July 3, 2018
FEC Filing[118]
[119]

Withdrawn candidates

Candidate Born Experience State Campaign Ref
 
Zoltan Istvan
March 30, 1973
(aged 45)
Los Angeles, California
Transhumanist activist and futurist
Transhumanist nominee for President in 2016
candidate for Governor of California in 2018
 
California
Announced campaign:
November 25, 2017

Suspended campaign:
January 11, 2019 (publicly revealed)

[120][121]
 
Christopher Marks
Columbia City, Indiana Lawyer and technician  
Indiana
Announced campaign:
February 7, 2017

Suspended campaign:
August 8, 2019

[122]

Publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Green Party

Declared candidates

Name Born Experience State Campaign
Announcement date
Ref
Candidates formally recognized by GPUS
 
Howie Hawkins
December 8, 1952
(age 66)
San Francisco, California
Co-Founder of the Green Party
Green nominee for Governor of New York in 2010, 2014, and 2018
Green nominee for U.S. representative from NY-25 in 2008
Green nominee for U.S. Senate from New York in 2006
 
New York
 
Campaign
Exploratory committee:
April 3, 2019

Announced campaign: May 28, 2019
FEC Filing[124]
[125][126][127]
Other candidates
 
Roland Aranjo
September 15, 1961
(age 57)
Denver, Colorado
Public Servant and Self-help Author  
Arizona
Announced campaign March 19, 2019
FEC Filing[128]
[129]
 
Sedinam Kinamo Christin
Moyowasifza Curry
January 1, 1962
(age 57)
Los Angeles, California[130]
People's National Convention organizer
Green candidate for President in 2016
 
California
Announced campaign: July 29, 2015
FEC Filing[131]
[132]
 
Dario Hunter
April 21, 1983
(age 36)
Livingston, New Jersey
Youngstown Board of Education member (2016–present)  
Ohio
 
Exploratory committee:
January 21, 2019

Announced campaign: February 18, 2019
FEC Filing[133]
[134]
 
Dennis Lambert
March 1, 1974
(age 45)
Columbus, Ohio
US Army Veteran
Green nominee for U.S. representative from OH-06 in 2014
 
Ohio
Announced campaign: May 10, 2019
Not Yet Filed With FEC
[135][136]
 
David Rolde
Boston, Massachusetts Political Organizer  
Massachusetts
Announced campaign: July 14, 2019
Not Yet Filed With FEC
[137]
 
Ian Schlakman
December 15, 1984
(age 34)
Suffolk County, New York
Former co-chair of the Maryland Green Party
Green nominee for Governor of Maryland in 2018
Green nominee for U.S. representative from MD-02 in 2014
 
Maryland
Filed December 3, 2018
Announced campaign: December 14, 2018
FEC Filing[138]
[139]

Withdrawn candidates

Name Born Experience State Campaign
Announcement date
Ref
 
Alan Augustson
February 14, 1964
(age 55)
Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan
Public policy analyst
Green candidate for U.S. representative from IL-05 in 2009
Green nominee for U.S. representative from IL-05 in 2008
 
New Mexico
 
Announced campaign: April 6, 2019
FEC Filing[140]
Suspended: June 10, 2019
(endorsed Hunter)
[141][142]
 
Gary Swing
January 30, 1968
(age 50)
Willingboro Township, New Jersey
Event promoter
Green nominee for U.S. representative from AZ-07 in 2018
Write-in candidate for U.S. representative from CO-03 in 2018
Green nominee for U.S. Senate from Colorado in 2016
Green nominee for U.S. representative from CO-06 in 2014
Green nominee for U.S. representative from CO-01 in 2012
 
Arizona
Announced campaign: May 18, 2018
FEC Filing[143]
Suspended: November 2, 2018
[144][145]


American Solidarity Party

Declared candidates

Name Born Experience State Announced Ref
 
Brian T. Carroll
December 15, 1949
(age 69)
California
Teacher
Independent candidate for U.S. Representative from CA-22 in 2018
 
California
April 2, 2019 [146]
 
Joshua Perkins
1984
(age 35)
Texas
Actuarial programmer
Jeopardy! College Championship finalist, 2003
 
Texas
April 12, 2019 [147]
 
Joe Schriner
March 3, 1955
(age 64)
Cleveland, Ohio
Political activist and journalist
Republican and Independent candidate for President in 2016
Independent candidate for President in 2012
Green and Independent candidate for President in 2008
Independent candidate for President in 2004
Republican and Independent candidate for President in 2000
 
Ohio
October 13, 2017 [148][149]

Independent or unaffiliated

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref
 
Mark Charles

(Date of birth unknown)
Gallup, New Mexico
Activist, consultant, journalist, public speaker  
Washington, D.C.
May 30, 2019 [150]
 
Ronnie Kroell
February 1, 1983
(age 36)
Chicago, Illinois
Fashion model, actor, and singer  
Illinois
February 12, 2019 [151]

Notable people who have announced that they are running for president in 2020 as independent candidates but have not established campaign websites are:

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Party conventions

 
 
Milwaukee
 
Charlotte
 
Austin
 
Detroit
  Democratic Party
  Republican Party
  Libertarian Party
  Green Party

The 2020 Democratic National Convention is scheduled from July 13–16 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.[155][156] Houston, Texas and Miami Beach, Florida were also considered to host the convention.[157]

The 2020 Republican National Convention is planned to be held in Charlotte, North Carolina, on August 24–27.[158]

This will be the first time since 2004 that the two major party conventions will be held at least one month apart with the Summer Olympics in between[159] (in 2008 and 2012, the Democratic and Republican conventions were held in back-to-back weeks following the Summer Olympics, while in 2016 both were held before the Rio Games).

The 2020 Libertarian National Convention will be held in Austin, Texas, over Memorial Day weekend, May 22–25.[160][161]

The 2020 Green National Convention will be held in Detroit, Michigan from July 9-12. Greenville, South Carolina and Spartanburg, South Carolina were also considered to host the convention. [162]

General election debates

The Commission on Presidential Debates announced on April 3, 2019, the six finalist cities that could hold the three presidential debates: Nashville, Tennessee; Hartford, Connecticut; Omaha, Nebraska; Ann Arbor, Michigan; Notre Dame, Indiana; and Salt Lake City, Utah.[163]

General election polling

State predictions

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI[164] Previous
result
Cook
January 9,
2019
[165]
IE
April 19,
2019
[166]
Sabato
February 27,
2019
[167]
Alabama R+14 62.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Alaska R+9 51.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona R+5 48.9% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup
Arkansas R+15 60.6% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
California D+12 61.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Colorado D+1 48.2% D Likely D Safe D Lean D
Connecticut D+6 54.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Delaware D+6 53.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
District of Columbia D+41 90.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Florida R+2 49.0% R Tossup Tossup Lean R
Georgia R+5 50.8% R Lean R Likely R Lean R
Hawaii D+18 62.2% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Idaho R+19 59.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+7 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Indiana R+9 56.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Iowa R+3 51.2% R Lean R Lean R Lean R
Kansas R+13 56.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Kentucky R+15 62.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Louisiana R+11 58.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Maine D+3 47.8% D Lean D Lean D
(only statewide
rating given)
Lean D
ME-1 D+8 54.0% D Safe D Safe D
ME-2 R+2 51.3% R Lean R Lean R
Maryland D+12 60.3% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Massachusetts D+12 60.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan D+1 47.5% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip)
Minnesota D+1 46.4% D Lean D Likely D Lean D
Mississippi R+9 57.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Missouri R+9 56.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+11 56.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Nebraska R+14 58.8% R Safe R Safe R
(only statewide
rating given)
Safe R
NE-1 R+11 56.2% R Safe R Safe R
NE-2 R+4 47.2% R Lean R Tossup
NE-3 R+27 73.9% R Safe R Safe R
Nevada D+1 47.9% D Lean D Lean D Lean D
New Hampshire EVEN 47.0% D Lean D Lean D Tossup
New Jersey D+7 55.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 48.4% D Safe D Safe D Likely D
New York D+11 59.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
North Carolina R+3 49.8% R Lean R Tossup Lean R
North Dakota R+16 63.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Ohio R+3 51.7% R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Oklahoma R+20 65.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Oregon D+5 50.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Pennsylvania EVEN 48.2% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Tossup
Rhode Island D+10 54.4% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
South Carolina R+8 54.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
South Dakota R+14 61.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee R+14 60.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+8 52.2% R Likely R Safe R Lean R
Utah R+20 45.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Vermont D+15 56.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Virginia D+1 49.7% D Likely D Safe D Lean D
Washington D+7 52.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
West Virginia R+19 68.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wisconsin EVEN 47.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup
Wyoming R+25 67.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Amash is not a member of the Libertarian Party, but has been the subject of speculation as a potential Libertarian Party candidate.

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