The 2016 Louisiana Democratic primary took place on March 5 in the U.S. state of Louisiana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Louisiana Democratic primary, 2016

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  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 37 14
Popular vote 221,733 72,276
Percentage 71.12% 23.18%

Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by parish.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

On the same day, Democratic primaries were held in Kansas and in Nebraska, while the Republican Party held primaries in four states, including their own Louisiana primary.

Clinton won every parish in the state except for Cameron and LaSalle Parishes.

Opinion pollingEdit

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Certified Primary results March 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton
71.1%
Bernie Sanders
23.2%
Others
5.7%
Magellan Strategies[1]

Margin of error: ± 3.3%
Sample size: 865

March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Others / Undecided
25%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.4
Sample size: 500

February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
29%
WWL-TV-Clarus[3]

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?

September 20–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton
57%
Joe Biden
22%
Bernie
Sanders
7%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%

ResultsEdit

Clinton dominated in Louisiana winning all but two of the states parishes. Clinton was declared the winner in Louisiana right when the polls closed.

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 221,733 71.12% 37 7 44
Bernie Sanders 72,276 23.18% 14 0 14
Steve Burke 4,785 1.53%
John Wolfe Jr. 4,512 1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,550 0.82%
Willie Wilson 1,423 0.46%
Keith Russell Judd 1,357 0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,341 0.43%
Michael Steinberg 993 0.32%
Henry Hewes 806 0.26%
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 311,776 100% 51 8 59
Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States

Results by parishEdit

Parish[4] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Acadia 53.7% 1,862 31.4% 1,087
Allen 55.1% 536 30.6% 297
Ascension 71.1% 4,221 23.3% 1,384
Assumption 71.4% 1,139 19.5% 312
Avoyelles 64.0% 1,181 24.7% 455
Beauregard 53.5% 679 30.8% 391
Bienville 76.9% 1,056 16.2% 222
Bossier 66.5% 2,919 27.0% 1,187
Caddo 79.8% 16,666 16.8% 3,513
Calcasieu 65.7% 6,594 26.2% 2,625
Caldwell 56.4% 250 26.9% 119
Cameron 37.4% 123 40.1% 132
Catahoula 60.6% 431 27.3% 194
Claiborne 76.3% 768 15.7% 158
Concordia 76.7% 1,830 13.8% 329
DeSoto 77.1% 1,508 16.3% 318
East Baton Rouge 78.4% 32,960 19.0% 7,970
East Carroll 88.0% 508 8.1% 47
East Feliciana 77.6% 1,847 14.6% 347
Evangeline 63.1% 1,319 23.8% 498
Franklin 65.5% 650 22.0% 218
Grant 48.6% 367 32.7% 247
Iberia 66.4% 2,171 24.7% 806
Iberville 69.6% 3,699 19.6% 1,042
Jackson 65.9% 827 21.3% 267
Jefferson 67.7% 17,581 27.1% 7,024
Jefferson Davis 56.0% 738 31.7% 418
Lafayette 59.7% 5,920 35.5% 3,523
Lafourche 50.5% 2,512 36.0% 1,789
LaSalle 30.2% 136 40.8% 184
Lincoln 75.3% 1,692 19.4% 436
Livingston 45.4% 1,633 38.7% 1,392
Madison 82.3% 722 11.2% 98
Morehouse 78.8% 1,513 15.5% 298
Natchitoches 68.1% 2,545 22.6% 846
Orleans 74.7% 40,601 24.1% 13,086
Ouachita 78.6% 8,995 15.8% 1,803
Plaquemines 71.6% 674 22.7% 214
Pointe Coupee 76.7% 1,680 16.1% 352
Rapides 71.3% 4,722 21.9% 1,451
Red River 75.3% 530 16.6% 117
Richland 76.1% 696 14.8% 135
Sabine 49.8% 387 33.3% 259
St. Bernard 62.3% 1,057 31.1% 527
St. Charles 69.2% 2,245 24.2% 787
St. Helena 83.8% 1,407 11.1% 186
St. James 82.2% 2,114 12.6% 324
St. John the Baptist 84.8% 3,818 12.5% 564
St. Landry 74.1% 4,606 19.1% 1,184
St. Martin 66.5% 1,869 24.6% 690
St. Mary 72.93% 1,996 19.55% 535
St. Tammany 57.2% 5,996 36.3% 3,800
Tangipahoa 65.7% 4,267 25.5% 1,656
Tensas 82.8% 492 10.3% 61
Terrebonne 66.7% 2,647 25.8% 1,023
Union 68.7% 822 18.1% 217
Vermilion 54.0% 1,002 34.9% 648
Vernon 49.5% 610 35.8% 441
Washington 69.3% 1,663 21.4% 513
Webster 74.8% 1,878 17.4% 436
West Baton Rouge 73.4% 2,178 19.9% 589
West Carroll 49.0% 171 31.5% 110
West Feliciana 80.1% 902 14.7% 166
Winn 63.5% 488 25.1% 193
Total 71.1% 221,615 23.2% 72,240

AnalysisEdit

A state Hillary Clinton lost solidly to Barack Obama in 2008, she progressed to victory in 2016. With its heavily African American population, Hillary Clinton solidly defeated Bernie Sanders in Louisiana. The electorate in Louisiana was expected to be about half African American, as it was about 48% African American in 2008. Clinton won overwhelmingly in the major cities of New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, and Shreveport, all with significant minority populations. Clinton also did well in the areas north of New Orleans and east of Baton Rouge in the 1st Congressional District, which is among the most conservative in Louisiana and the South at large. She also performed well in rural counties in Central Louisiana and those along the Louisiana-Texas border that are majority white as she had likewise done eight years prior.

The Sanders campaign reported that Hillary Clinton had notched wins in southern states including Louisiana because Bernie Sanders did not compete with her, although this claim was widely debunked.[9]

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "LOUISIANA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS" (PDF).
  2. ^ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  3. ^ "WWL-TV/Advocate poll: Carson the favorite of state's Republicans". Retrieved 2015-10-16.
  4. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.