The 2015 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Cortes of the Autonomous Community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2015 Aragonese regional election

← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →

All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,020,106 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.4%
Turnout676,654 (66.3%)
Red Arrow Down.svg1.6 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  Luisa Fernanda Rudi 2011 (cropped).jpg Javier Lambán 2016 (cropped).jpg Pablo Echenique 2015c (cropped).jpg
Leader Luisa Fernanda Rudi Javier Lambán Pablo Echenique
Party PP PSOE Podemos
Leader since 8 November 2008 31 March 2012 14 February 2015
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election 30 seats, 39.7% 22 seats, 29.0% Did not contest
Seats won 21 18 14
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg9 Red Arrow Down.svg4 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg14
Popular vote 183,654 143,096 137,325
Percentage 27.5% 21.4% 20.6%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg12.2 pp Red Arrow Down.svg7.6 pp New party

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Arturo Aliaga 2015 (cropped).jpg Susana Gaspar 2015b (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Arturo Aliaga Susana Gaspar José Luis Soro
Party PAR C's CHA
Leader since 17 January 2015 14 March 2015 10 February 2012
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election 7 seats, 9.2% Did not contest 4 seats, 8.2%
Seats won 6 5 2
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg1 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5 Red Arrow Down.svg2
Popular vote 45,846 62,907 30,618
Percentage 6.9% 9.4% 4.6%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg2.3 pp New party Red Arrow Down.svg3.6 pp

AragonProvinceMapCortes2015.png
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon

President before election

Luisa Fernanda Rudi
PP

Elected President

Javier Lambán
PSOE

Contents

OverviewEdit

Electoral systemEdit

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Government.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Aragonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 3 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[3] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 13 seats, with the remaining 28 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations on the condition that the seat to population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one.[1][4]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]

Election dateEdit

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election Decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon, with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 May 2015. The election Decree was required to be published no later than 28 April 2015, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 21 June 2015.[1][4][5][6]

The President of the Government had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Opinion pollsEdit

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

ResultsEdit

OverallEdit

Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Aragon election results
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 183,654 27.50 –12.19 21 –9
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 143,096 21.43 –7.59 18 –4
We Can (Podemos) 137,325 20.56 New 14 +14
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 62,907 9.42 New 5 +5
Aragonese Party (PAR) 45,846 6.86 –2.29 6 –1
Aragonese Union (CHA) 30,618 4.58 –3.65 2 –2
United Left of Aragon (IU) 28,184 4.22 –1.94 1 –3
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 5,708 0.85 –1.46 0 ±0
Blank Seats (EB) 5,323 0.80 New 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 4,946 0.74 +0.42 0 ±0
Commitment with Aragon (CCA) 2,844 0.43 –0.12 0 ±0
Equo (eQuo) 1,256 0.19 New 0 ±0
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) 1,082 0.16 New 0 ±0
Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) 648 0.10 –0.04 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 616 0.09 New 0 ±0
Aragonese Bloc (BAR) 581 0.09 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 13,224 1.98 –1.21
Total 667,858 67 ±0
Valid votes 667,858 98.70 +0.20
Invalid votes 8,796 1.30 –0.20
Votes cast / turnout 676,654 66.33 –1.57
Abstentions 343,452 33.67 +1.57
Registered voters 1,020,106
Sources[7][8][9]
Popular vote
PP
27.50%
PSOE
21.43%
Podemos
20.56%
C's
9.42%
PAR
6.86%
CHA
4.58%
IU
4.22%
Others
3.44%
Blank ballots
1.98%
Seats
PP
31.34%
PSOE
26.87%
Podemos
20.90%
PAR
8.96%
C's
7.46%
CHA
2.99%
IU
1.49%

Distribution by constituencyEdit

Constituency PP PSOE Podemos C's PAR CHA IU
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Huesca 26.2 5 26.4 6 18.6 4 8.4 1 9.2 2 3.1 3.3
Teruel 27.5 5 22.0 4 16.1 2 7.2 1 13.7 2 3.4 4.6
Zaragoza 27.8 11 20.1 8 21.7 8 10.0 3 5.2 2 5.1 2 4.4 1
Total 27.5 21 21.4 18 20.6 14 9.4 5 6.9 6 4.6 2 4.2 1

ReferencesEdit

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Sondeo de FORTA en Aragón: PP, 20-23 escaños; PSOE, 16-18; Podemos, 14-16; Ciudadanos, 7-8; PAR, 5-6; CHA, 2-3, e IU, 1-2". Aragón Radio (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  2. ^ "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  3. ^ "El PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  4. ^ "Aragón: Pacto a tres bandas para mantener a Rudi en el Gobierno". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  5. ^ "Aragón. Encuesta mayo 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. ^ "El 72% de los aragoneses apoya que se forme un Gobierno de coalición". El País (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  7. ^ "Situación política en Aragón". El País (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  8. ^ "Podemos y PP empatan en cabeza en Aragón por delante de Ciudadanos y PSOE, también igualados". Público (in Spanish). 5 May 2015.
  9. ^ "Resultados encuesta Elecciones Autonómicas 2015". YouTube (in Spanish). 5 May 2015.
  10. ^ "Rudi pierde a un tercio de sus votantes y queda en manos de C's". ABC (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  11. ^ "El PP, ante el minifundio de partidos". ABC (in Spanish). 16 May 2015.
  12. ^ "Rajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas". ABC (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  13. ^ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3064. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  14. ^ "Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  15. ^ "La fragmentación del voto obligaría a pactar a varias bandas para gobernar". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2015.
  16. ^ "ARAGÓN, Abril 2015. Sondeo A+M". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2015.
  17. ^ "El PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  18. ^ "Aragón: Los acuerdos, decisivos en uno de los parlamentos más fragmentados". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  19. ^ "Aragón. Encuesta marzo 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
  20. ^ "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  21. ^ "Proyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos". El País (in Spanish). 31 May 2014.
  22. ^ "PP y PSOE tendrían que lograr pactos a tres bandas para poder formar gobierno". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2014.
  23. ^ "El PP adelanta en 1,6 puntos al PSOE en Aragón (El Heraldo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 23 April 2014.
  24. ^ "ARAGÓN, Abril 2014. A+M / Heraldo de Aragón". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2014.
  25. ^ "El PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías". La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013.
  26. ^ "Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 November 2013.
  27. ^ "El PP mantiene el poder autonómico". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  28. ^ "Necesitaría pactos para gobernar en Navarra, Asturias, Canarias, Extremadura y Aragón". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  29. ^ "El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 May 2013.
  30. ^ "La crisis y la desafección harían perder al PP unos 90.000 votos y al PSOE, 40.000". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2013.
  31. ^ "Encuesta publicada en el "Heraldo de Aragón" el día 23-04-2013". CUIzquierda (in Spanish). 28 April 2013.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d "Statute of Autonomy of Aragon of 2007". Organic Law No. 5 of 20 April 2007. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  4. ^ a b c "Autonomous Community of Aragon Electoral Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987. Official Gazette of Aragon (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  5. ^ a b "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. ^ a b "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  7. ^ "Aragon Electoral Archive. Cortes of Aragon election, 2015. Autonomous Community of Aragon". servicios.aragon.es (in Spanish). Government of Aragon. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
  8. ^ "Cortes of Aragon election results, 24 May 2015" (PDF). juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Aragon. 9 June 2015. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
  9. ^ "Cortes of Aragon elections since 1983". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 26 September 2017.